Our football analyst breaks down the key Premier League midweek fixtures with a betting-focused angle suited for punters in South Africa. Fulham are tipped to trouble Manchester City, while Everton look well-placed against a shaky Bournemouth defence.
Bournemouth vs Everton
Tuesday, 9.30pm
Bournemouth’s defensive issues are becoming difficult to ignore. They have conceded 15 goals in their last six matches and the loss of key defenders has left them exposed, especially in central areas. With Marcos Senesi suspended, Bournemouth line up without their most reliable organiser at the back.
Everton thrive in matches where they can apply pressure, win territory and create set-piece moments. That’s exactly the kind of battle Bournemouth are struggling with. Everton have already shown they can grind out away wins this season and this matchup falls right into their strengths.
Score Prediction: Bournemouth 1–2 Everton
Fulham vs Manchester City
Tuesday, 9.30pm
Manchester City away from home don’t look as untouchable as they once were. They’re averaging just over a goal per game on their travels this season, a big drop from their usual title-winning standards. It’s not a collapse, but the numbers don’t match their odds-on reputation.
Fulham are much more cohesive at Craven Cottage than away from home and have conceded only three goals in home fixtures this season, second only to Arsenal. With the crowd behind them and City showing signs of fatigue in tight matches, this has all the ingredients for an upset.
Score Prediction: Fulham 2–1 Man City
Best Angle: Fulham (Draw No Bet)
Newcastle vs Tottenham
Tuesday, 10.15pm
Tottenham arrive looking blunt and low on creativity. Their averages of 9.5 shots and 3.2 shots on target per game are their lowest since Opta began tracking the data. The expected-goals trend is worrying too, coming in under 1.0 in seven of their last eight league matches. This is no longer a blip but a pattern.
Newcastle at St James’ Park play with intensity and physicality that tends to overwhelm visiting teams. Spurs don’t currently have the attacking spark to push them back or keep the crowd quiet. With Tottenham struggling to generate pressure, Newcastle keeping a clean sheet feels very possible.
Score Prediction: Newcastle 2–0 Tottenham
Arsenal vs Brentford
Wednesday, 9.30pm
Arsenal are on a long unbeaten run and doing it with a defensive base as good as anything in Europe right now. They’ve kept more clean sheets than any team in major leagues this season and have lost only once across all competitions.
Brentford are physical and well-coached but Arsenal have a habit of suffocating exactly this type of opponent. Their recent trend of winning with under 3.5 goals has landed in nine of their last 15 Premier League matches.
Professional, controlled, and rarely chaotic. That’s Arsenal right now.
Score Prediction: Arsenal 2–0 Brentford
Brighton vs Aston Villa
Wednesday, 9.30pm
Ezri Konsa has become a foul-magnet this season due to his role of stepping into midfield and driving into pressure. He’s being targeted by opponents and has drawn at least two fouls in six of his last 11 starts.
This match feels tight on paper and could be decided by small margins. Konsa’s involvement in physical duels makes his foul-draw angles particularly interesting for props bettors in South Africa.
Score Prediction: Brighton 1–1 Aston Villa
Burnley vs Crystal Palace
Wednesday, 9.30pm
Crystal Palace carry a strange energy at the moment. There’s tension behind the scenes and Oliver Glasner hasn’t hidden his frustrations with the club’s direction. That kind of mood can seep into a squad quickly.
Burnley have had their struggles but remain competitive in spells and could take advantage of Palace’s uncertainty. A cagey contest feels likely.
Score Prediction: Burnley 1–1 Palace
Wolves vs Nottingham Forest
Wednesday, 9.30pm
Wolves under Rob Edwards have improved noticeably at set pieces. Yerson Mosquera is a major part of that, offering strong aerial presence and attacking intent. He had two good chances against Aston Villa and looked dangerous all match.
Forest can be vulnerable in dead-ball situations, which makes Mosquera a strong shout in the shots or anytime-scoring markets.
Score Prediction: Wolves 1–2 Forest
Best Angle: Yerson Mosquera – 1+ shots
Leeds vs Chelsea
Wednesday, 9.15pm
This is exactly the type of tricky away game that tests whether Chelsea are genuine title challengers. Beating Liverpool or drawing with Arsenal is one thing, but Elland Road on a midweek night is a different kind of assignment.
Leeds will look to disrupt the rhythm, press aggressively and turn the match into a scrap. Chelsea’s quality should shine through eventually but this has the ingredients of a frustrating evening.
Score Prediction: Leeds 1–1 Chelsea
Liverpool vs Sunderland
Wednesday, 9.15pm
Liverpool may have kept a clean sheet at the weekend but the wider trend tells a different story. They have conceded 16 goals across their last eight matches and are giving up a high volume of big chances. The aura of defensive invincibility once shown by Van Dijk and Konaté has faded.
Sunderland play with energy, press courageously and attack space quickly. They don’t need to dominate a match to create scoring opportunities.
This match has goals written all over it.
Score Prediction: Liverpool 3–1 Sunderland
Best Angle: Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals
Thursday, 10pm
Manchester United vs West Ham
Jarrod Bowen continues to be the heartbeat of West Ham’s attack. He leads the team in progressive carries, shot-creating actions and shots on target. If West Ham threaten, it’s usually Bowen pulling the strings.
United have kept only two clean sheets in their last 21 matches. Their defensive structure remains fragile and gives players like Bowen space to operate.
Score Prediction: Man United 2–2 West Ham
Best Angle: Jarrod Bowen to score
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